CAPS 2018 Program
CAPS 2018
Complexity And Policy Studies
Organizer: The Journal for Policy and Complex System
Host: The Computational Public Policy Lab, George Mason University
LOCATION: FOUNDERS HALL, ROOM 113, 3434 Washington Boulevard, ARLINGTON, VA
Wednesday, April 18
Registration / Check-in: 8:00 am – 9:00 am
Opening remarks and welcome: 9:00 am – 9:15 am: Mirsad Hadžikadić
Session 1: 9:15 am – 10:30 am
Keynote Talk: David Sloan Wilson. Introduction by Ted Carmichael
BREAK: 30 MINUTES
Session 2: 11:00 am – 12:30 pm Session Chair: Martin Schmidt
Asim Zia and Stuart Kauffman: The Limits of Predictability in Predefining Phase Spaces of Dynamic Social Ecological Systems: Command and Control Versus Complex Systems Based Policy Design Approaches to Conserve Tropical Forests Mohammad Jalali, Michael Siegel and Stuart Madnick: Decision Making and Biases in Cybersecurity Capability Development: Evidence from a Simulation Game Experiment Thomas Pike: Integrating Computational Tools Into Foreign Policy Analysis LUNCH (ON YOUR OWN): 90 MINUTES
Session 3: 2:00 pm – 3:30 pm Session Chair: Dave Dixon
Milton Friesen: The Nature of Spatial and Social Structures: Christopher Alexander and the Development of Modeling Frameworks for Urban Policy Contexts Omar A. Guerrero, Gonzalo Castaeda and Florian Chavez-Juarez: How do governments determine policy priorities? Studying development strategies through networked spillovers Cameron E. Taylor, Ivan Garibay and Alexander V. Mantzaris: Examining the effect of polarization on Dynamic Communicators when allowed to compete for social influence BREAK: 30 MINUTES
Session 4: 4:00 pm – 5:30 pm
Keynote Talk: Yaneer Bar-Yam. Introduced by Mirsad Hadžikadić
DINNER: 6:00 pm – 8:00 pm TBD
Thursday, April 19
Session 5: 9:00 am – 10:30 am Session Chair: N. Gizem Bacaksizlar
Richard Knowles: A Cybernetics Approach to Solving Complex Problems Improving Policy Making and Implementation Aja Watkins: Matching Students to Schools Mohammad Jalali and Jessica Kaiser: Cyber Resiliency in Hospitals: a Systematic, Organizational Perspective BREAK: 15 MINUTES
Session 6: 10:45 am – 12:00 am
Panel Discussion: Jerri Husch
LUNCH (SERVED): 1 hr. 45 minutes
Session 7: 1:45 pm – 3:15 pm Session Chair: Ted Carmichael
Russ Abbott: What’s so complex about complex systems? Michael Francis Mccullough: A Complexity Theory of Power Claudia Pharis: Complexity Analytics and Policy BREAK: 30 MINUTES
Session 8: 3:45 pm – 5:30 pm Session Chairs: N. Gizem Bacaksizlar and Elizabeth von Briesen
Morris Bosin: Using the Law of Requisite Variety (LRV) to Manage Federal Programs Miron Kaufman, Sanda Kaufman and Mark Salling: Dynamic firm location network model: empirical validation Poster Flash Talks – Two minutes, one slide for each poster.
Session 9: 5:30 pm – 7:00 pm
Poster Session*, with heavy hors d’oeuvres served
Friday, April 20
Session 10: 8:30 am – 9:45 am
Keynote Talk: Leon Fuerth. Introduced by Jerri Husch
BREAK: 30 MINUTES
Session 11: 10:15 am – 11:15 am Session Chair: Bernd Durrwachter
Faizan Khan and Zining Yang: Simulation of Financial Systemic Risk and Contagion in the U.S. Housing Market Khatera Alizada and Wesley Wildman: Analyzing the effectiveness of anti-child-sex-trafficking policies targeting demand versus supply using agent-based modeling BREAK: 15 MINUTES
Session 12: 11:30 am – 1:00 pm Session Chair: Elizabeth von Briesen
Arnob Alam and Heath Henderson: The Structure of Risk-Sharing Networks Stuart Umpleby: Expanding Science and Advancing Democracy: Two Current Projects in Cybernetics Kevin Comer, Jack Goldstone, David Massad and Hilton Root: Global Networks Over Time: Where We Are in the History of Globalization
Closing Remarks and Future Plans: Mirsad Hadžikadić
End of conference
* Poster Session
Ling Xue, Xiaolin Zhang and Xiaonan Hu: The impact of regional policy of carbon market integration on the Chinese economic geography: an agent-based simulation Laura Epifanovskaya, Kiran Lakkaraju, Josh Letchford, Mallory Stites and Jason Reinhardt: Toward a Quantitative Approach to Data Gathering and Analysis for Nuclear Deterrence Policy